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Department of Mathematical Sciences
DATE: | Thursday, May 05, 2016 |
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TIME: | 1:15pm to 2:15pm |
LOCATION: | WH 100E |
SPEAKER: | Aleksey Polunchenko, Binghamton University |
TITLE: | On a Diffusion Process that Arises in Quickest Change-Point Detection |
Abstract
We consider the diffusion (Rt)t≥0 generated by the stochastic differential equation dRt=dt+μRtdBt with R0=0, where μ≠0 is given and (Bt)t≥0 is standard Brownian motion. We obtain a closed-from expression for the quasi-stationary distribution of (Rt)t≥0, i.e., the limit QA(x)=lim, x\in[0,A], where T_A=\inf\{t>0:R_t=A\} with A>0 fixed. The process (R_t)_{t\ge0}, its quasi-stationary distribution Q_A(x), x\in[0,A], and the stopping time T_A are of importance in the theory of quickest change-point detection, especially the case when A is large. We study the asymptotic behavior of Q_A(x) for large A's, and provide an order-three asymptotic approximation.