Statistics Seminar
Department of Mathematics and Statistics
DATE: | Thursday, March 28, 2024 |
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TIME: | 1:15pm – 2:15pm |
LOCATION: | WH 100E |
SPEAKER: | Baozhen Wang, Binghamton University |
TITLE: | Conformal Meta-learners for Predictive Inference of Individual Treatment Effects |
Abstract
This paper investigates predictive inference for individual treatment effects (ITEs) using machine learning techniques. Traditional approaches have primarily concentrated on developing meta-learners for estimating the conditional average treatment effect (CATE), offering point estimates without considering predictive intervals. The study introduces conformal meta-learners, a framework that enhances traditional CATE meta-learners by applying the conformal prediction procedure to provide predictive intervals for ITEs. This method is validated through a stochastic ordering framework, highlighting that conformal meta-learners can achieve valid inferences with desired coverage levels.