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seminars:stat:191114 [2019/10/31 11:47] qyuseminars:stat:191114 [2019/11/13 17:58] (current) qyu
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 +<WRAP centeralign>##Statistics Seminar##\\ Department of Mathematical Sciences</WRAP>
 +
 +<WRAP 70% center>
 +^  **DATE:**|Thursday, November 14, 2019 |
 +^  **TIME:**|1:15pm -- 2:15pm |
 +^  **LOCATION:**|WH 100E |
 +^  **SPEAKER:**|Baozhen Wang, Binghamton University |
 +^  **TITLE:**|Conformal prediction and the limit of distribution-free conditional predictive inference|
 +</WRAP>
 +\\ 
 +
 +<WRAP center box 80%>
 +<WRAP centeralign>**Abstract**</WRAP>
 +Conformal prediction uses past experience to determine
 +precise levels of confidence in new predictions. The proposed methodology
 +allows for the construction of a distribution-free prediction bands for
 +the response variable using any algorithm. The resulting prediction bands
 +preserves marginal coverage guarantee, where predictive coverage holds on
 +average over all possible test points, but is not sufficient for many
 +practical applications. We aim to produce predictive conditional coverage
 +rather than marginally with certain types of constrains and assumptions,
 +while still being possible to achieve in a distribution-free setting.
 +
 +</WRAP>
 +
 +
 +
 +